No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. There isnt a hotter golfer on the planet, except world No. Since 2019, the PGA Championship has taken place in May, instead of its former spot as the fourth and final major played in August. K.H. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship DFS Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Championship picks. The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. Cameron Young plays his shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 14, 2022, in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at I couldnt touch a club for eight, 10 weeks, 10, 11 weeks, and even at that, it took a little longer for me for the process. Were about an hour north of downtown. There is a narrative brewing that around the green play will be important this week. He will win a major, and likely soon. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. While the golf world stirred itself into a frenzy, the tournaments being played since the Masters havent been very inspiring for golf fans. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. So I had to fight through it and just get the muscle back. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker Woods is projected under 10% owned. He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Hes just, well, not there. The PGA Championship offers an extremely difficult task at the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island but these sleepers and dark horses could pop and win a major. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener, Wyndham Championship odds: Shane Lowry is betting favorite for regular-season finale. A feast or famine player, Champ has been flashing some strong form lately. Bradley remains the last player to win in his major championship debut as he proved victorious in a playoff at the Atlantic Athletic Club over Jason Dufner 11 years ago. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. The 2021 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report Before placing any golf wagers, we consider many, many different variables, but sometimes it's the 'sleeper' factors that inform an event winner. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. Keegan Bradley at +10,000 and Cameron Tringale at +25,000. Hes also been a fairly reliable player in the majors, missing just one cut in five career starts. Very, very little can be gleaned about this weeks event by looking into the time machine at the results from 2007. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters. While he did MC, he was still able to gain three strokes on approach and 3.5 strokes tee-to-green. Eventually, hell be due to bring the A-game that has fueled his four wins on TOUR to a major. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - Tyrell Hatton has now gained strokes putting in nine straight events. Rahm has finished top-10 in five of the past six majors, including a win at last years U.S. Open. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Like what you read today? Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. Finding a big-hitter with a good approach game should give us a good opportunity to find a winner on this course. Getting one of the best ball strikers on tour, who is familiar with the course, under 10% owned may just be too lucrative to pass up. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. The result marks Kirk's . With all the talent in the field, it can be difficult to make lineups and player pools. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. Looking at the course, the putting grass thats going to be used is called paspalum, which is popular on European tracks. hot putters. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. Its the chalkiest pick on the board, but Im taking it anyway. Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. That changes this week with the arrival of the seasons second major championship: the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. 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Elsewhere, Scott is 80-1 or lower. Jon Rahm (+1100) is currently the favoriteto win the PGA Championship, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. https://t.co/sKxOMtygIW. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. Still, he drives and putts well enough to draw consideration as an 80-1 sleeper pick. ET. Check out some of the sleepers in the 2022 PGA Championship below. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. Taking sleeper picks is. Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. The Horse 5. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. Which one is the best for you? He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. Some recency bias could be coming into play. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . Part III of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! This means it will be the longest course in major championship history, as it was in 2012. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). Southern Hills is arather long course. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. Obviously, well need a hot week with the putter. Collin Morikawa, Jason Day and Justin Thomas were either rising or established stars by the times of their. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. But yeah, right now, its been good; Ive had no issues. Top 3 High Value Sleepers and Sleeper Picks and Predictions for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA Golf Tournament Running from March 2 to 5 2023. In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. Jordan Spieth 9.. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? The 25-year-old has never played in the PGA Championship nor has he made a cut at a major, but he has the tools needed to make noise this week. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. Tiger Woods is making his second-straight major start after his triumphant return last month at Augusta National. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. If youve come to this page before, youll know that one of the items I like to check before making a major championship bet is seeing where the public money is going. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. Is it a stretch? His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Meanwhile,Tiger Woods (+6500)ranks lower than usual among the field as he looks to return to form in his second event back from a 2021 car crash that left him with severe injuries. When it comes to my betting picks this week, you won't find anything too groundbreaking here. On the one hand, it was bad: A big handful of the best players in the world ditched the tour, lured by the . Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. For all intents and purposes, Smiths the second-hottest player in the world, and hes getting the seventh-best odds in the field. Last week, Jordan Spieth was asked about the sneaky-best short-game whizzes on Tour. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. At The Players Championship, the understood tee time advantage did not play out and fantasy players who stacked the opposite wave made a lot of money. And names like Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and many others always look attractive. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) Potential shortstop sleepers. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. The putter is still not cooperating like hed hoped, but if he can get even average results on the greens in Tulsa, he should be in contention on Sunday. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. The Florida swing on the PGA Tour rolls on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, and golf fans will be relieved to see a loaded field after last week's Honda Classic featured just three of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. This. Lets dig in and find some winners! There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. Yeah, that came at Augusta National. Click here to make your PGA picks This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. (Photo: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports). Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). But the truth of the matter is that favorites dont always win golf tournaments. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. He may not be the best course fit, with his chipping being a weakness, but that is more than factored into this juicy price. Are they right? Major championships can be difficult weeks for DFS players. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. And this is no knock against him. This situation reminds me a little of everyone being off of Rory McIlroy before he took down the Wells Fargo. Southern Hills itself has changed plenty, with a renovation undertaken in that time. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. Sign up for an account to get into the action today. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. My wife rides horses, she got back into that. Tulsa, Okla.,plays host to a stacked field, wide open for a winner to emerge from among the favorites or from well further down the board. These five players jump out as possible dark-horse candidates to make waves in Tulsa this weekend. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. 17. Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's PGA Championship. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. The Ponies 7. For +12,500, I will bet that we see flashes of 2020 Wolff at Southern Hills. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday in Tulsa, so let's put together a winning DFS strategy. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. Recent PGA Champions 4. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. The 2022 PGA Championship field We've categorized all golfers that matter for the PGA Championship into favorites, contenders, sleepers, long shots, those that would need a miracle to. Lee went on to record multiple top-five place finishes on The DP World Tour last year. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Sportsbook Keegan Bradley To Win: +8000 Top-5 Finish: +1100 Top-10 Finish: +500 Top-20 Finish: +200 The 2011 PGA Champion is beginning to look like his former self in that he is contending on a regular basis. Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. His solid short game will help around Southern Hills, and if the flat stick gets hot he can keep up with anyone. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. There has been a lot of talk about how Southern Hills is Schefflers favorite course, and rave reviews came from his recent practice round there. But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. About the only thing that fans know for certain is that we won't have a repeat champion, as Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event amid an ongoing feud with the PGA Tour. Its got a lot to do with just the bone was healed, there was just a lot of nerve damage. ), PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. The other is Adam Scott, who finished T12 here in 2007 and continues to play great golf. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. So with that, its no surprise that I have Rory McIlroy as my outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship along with sprinkles on guys like Hideki Matsuyama and Shane Lowry. The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill By CBS Sports Staff 15 mins ago 3 min read USATSI The. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three . With +15,000 odds, Ill take a flier on someone who I see as a future major champion. Leish has fallen off a bit since his early-season form, and hes missed the past three PGA cuts. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-pga-championship-odds-sleeper-picks-jason-day-max-homa-southern-hills/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Best golf balls for 2023 for every budget and playing style, Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Friday at Bay Hill: Jordan Spieth's putter wakes up, Jon Rahm takes a step back among notes from Day 2 at Arnold Palmer Invitational, LIV Golf reports 3.2 million viewers for opening event in Mexico, a stark difference from early reports, Photos: PopStroke by Tiger Woods opens its first location in Arizona, Putters used by PGA Tour players ranked in the top 10 in strokes gained putting, Photos: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational merchandise tent is fit for a king, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. No more. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. Another positive for Henley is that he ranks seventh in the field in strokes gained around the green. Because of that showing by Rory and his recent win at the Wells Fargo Championship, he comes into this event as the betting favorite at +1100. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. Suh has exceeded salary-based expectations in nine straight events dating back to last fall's edition of The CJ Cup, where he finished T29 in a very strong field. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. Picks K-free bet up to $1,000. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. One of those two was the champion at this venue back in 2007 a golfer by the name Tiger Woods. So, good putters should fare well on this course. The No. He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. He ranks just 87th in one-putting, but he should be a steady performer this week. The golf world has dramatically shifted since last time the worlds best golfers teed off at Southern Hills at the 2007 PGA Championship. To-win: Patrick Cantlay, +2,200. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Xander Schauffele 6. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. Defending champion Collin Morikawa's betting odds are listed at +2800. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. Its just that the bookmakers dont over at BetMGM, Champs well down the board, at 150-1 to win. Several winners in previous years will also be competing, which include Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth. He has made the cut in all eight majors that he has played, including three top-12 finishes. The 2019 U.S. Open champion is finally healthy after battling injuries the last two years, and his play is indicative of such. The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021.
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